London’s Economy Today editorial – April 2026 April 30th, 2026 by Daryl Rozario, Jubair Ahmed, Gordon Douglass, and Sixia Zhang The economic fallout from the disruption in the Strait of Hormuz continues Since the opening of hostilities between the US and Israel and Iran on 28 February the economic effects of this conflict have become more evident. Despite the announcement of a ceasefire on 7 April the Strait of Hormuz has remained severely restricted to…
London’s Economy Today editorial – December 2025 December 18th, 2025 by Daryl Rozario, Jubair Ahmed, Gordon Douglass, and Sixia Zhang UK GDP shrinks in October Data published this month by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed that the UK economy contracted in October. Output fell by 0.1% in the three months to October 2025 after growing by 0.1% in the three months to September (Figure 1). This was the first fall in three-monthly GDP…
London’s Economy Today editorial – December 2024 December 19th, 2024 by Daryl Rozario, Ali Ögcem, Gordon Douglass, and Sixia Zhang UK GDP falls unexpectedly in October The Office for National Statistics (ONS) published data for UK GDP growth in October. This data showed that UK output unexpectedly shrank in October with GDP dropping by 0.1% compared to a month earlier (Figure 1). Figure 1: Contributions to monthly UK GD) growth, October 2023 to October 2024…
London’s Economy Today editorial – May 2024 May 31st, 2024 by Daryl Rozario, Mike Hope, Sixia Zhang UK GDP grows strongly in first quarter of 2024 After two quarters of mild negative growth of -0.3% in 2023 Q4 and -0.1% in 2023 Q3, the UK grew strongly by 0.6% in 2024 Q1, reports the Office for National Statistics (ONS). Year-on-year growth was a more modest 0.2%, and over the last two years…
Revenue centralisation and economic growth in London: a counterfactual analysis February 28th, 2024 by Adam Yousef Compared to other OECD countries, the UK remains one of the most fiscally centralised countries. Data from the OECD’s Revenue Statistics publications shows that in recent years no more than 6% of the UK’s total tax revenue has been raised locally, compared to just under 11% for the OECD on average. Studies of the impact…
London’s Economy Today editorial – Issue 247 – March 2023 March 30th, 2023 by Daryl Rozario, Gordon Douglass, Mike Hope, and James Watson Cost of living crisis not easing yet, despite Government measures Inflation rose unexpectedly in February, with signs that some price pressures may take longer to ease. Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation unexpectedly hit 10.4% year-on-year last month, up from 10.1% in January. The three main reasons were prices for restaurants and cafes, food and clothing.…
