This page contains superseded GLA population and household projections. Projections are updated annually incorporating the latest data as it becomes available.

Projections from older rounds are provided here to illustrate how projections have changed over time and to ensure that data underpinning past project work can be identified and referenced. However, where possible users should use data from the most recently produced round.

The current round of projections can be downloaded from data.london.gov.uk/demography.

For archived methodology and results documents see the documents archive: data.london.gov.uk/gla-projections-archive-documents-and-methodology

Population & Ethnic Group Projections

2016-based projections
Trend central borough
Trend central (detailed outputs)
Trend short-term borough
Trend short-term (detailed outputs)
Trend long-term borough
Trend long-term (detailed outputs)
Housing-led borough
Housing-led ward
Housing-led MSOA
Ethnic Group (central trend)
Ethnic Group (housing-led)
Employment-led

2015-based projections
Trend central borough
Trend central (detailed outputs)
Trend short-term borough
Trend short-term (detailed outputs)
Trend long-term borough
Trend long-term (detailed outputs)
Housing-led borough
Housing-led ward
Housing-led MSOA

2015 round projections
Trend long-term borough
Trend short-term borough
SHLAA-capped borough
SHLAA-capped ward
SHLAA-capped borough (long-term trend constrained)
DCLG borough
Ethnic Group (short-term trend)
Ethnic Group (long-term trend)

2014 round projections
Trend long-term borough
Trend long-term (detailed ouputs)
Trend short-term borough
Trend short-term (detailed outputs)
DCLG long-term borough
SHLAA-capped short-term borough
SHLAA capped short-term ward
Ethnic Group (long-term trend)
Ethnic Group (SHLAA)

2013 round projections
Trend (central) borough
Trend (central) ward
Trend borough (central NPP fertility)
Trend (high) borough
Trend (low) borough
SHLAA DCLG borough

2012 round projections
Trend borough
SHLAA borough
SHLAA ward 
SHLAA DCLG borough
SHLAA DCLG ward
SHLAA borough (trend constraint)
Ethnic Group (Trend)

2011 round projections
SHLAA borough
SHLAA ward
SHLAA High fertility borough
SHLAA High fertility ward
Ethnic Group (high fertility)
Ethnic Group (SHLAA)

2010 round projections
SHLAA borough
SHLAA ward
Ethnic Group (SHLAA)

2009 round projections
London Plan borough
London Plan ward
SHLAA borough borough
SHLAA ward
Ethnic Group (London Plan)
Ethnic Group (SHLAA)

Household Projections

2016-based projections
Trend central
Trend short-term
Trend long-term

2015-based projections
Trend central
Trend short-term
Trend long-term
Housing-led

2015 round projections
Trend long-term
SHLAA

2014 round projections
Trend long-term
Trend short-term
Trend long-term (superseded)*
Trend short-term (superseded)*

2013 round projections
Trend central
Trend high
Trend low
SHLAA

2011 round projections
SHLAA
SHLAA high fertility

2010 round projections
SHLAA

*The 2014 round household projections were updated on 22/12/2015 to fix issue in the Stage 1 household model.

Economically Active Population Projections
2010 SHLAA
2009 London Plan
2009 SHLAA