The ONS has published its latest labour market update covering Labour Force Survey (LFS) data for the three months ending December 2021. This bulletin presents the latest headline labour market estimates for London.
Please note:
More information and previous GLA Economics analyses can be found on our COVID-19 labour market analysis page.
More information on the data used and a glossary of terms can be found on the ONS website.
The count of payrolled employees from HMRC’s Pay As You Earn (PAYE) RTI dataset offers a timely measure of labour market trends:
Early estimates indicate that there were around 4.2 million payrolled employees living in London in January 2022, an increase of around 22,600 or 0.5% on the previous month.
The latest London estimate represents an increase of 252,000 or 6.4% on the previous year (January 2021) against a UK average increase of 4.8% (see charts).
Relative to pre-pandemic levels (February 2020), the number of payrolled employees in London was up by 16,100 or 0.4%. This compares to an increase of 1.5% across the UK on average.
Source: HM Revenue and Customs – Pay As You Earn Real Time Information.
Note: Estimates are based on where employees live.
Source: HM Revenue and Customs – Pay As You Earn Real Time Information.
Note: Estimates are based on where employees live.
Source: HM Revenue and Customs – Pay As You Earn Real Time Information.
Note: Estimates are based on where employees live.
The tabs below are each updated once per quarter, as new data is released by the ONS/HMRC.
Some industries have yet to recover from the pandemic. Comparing January 2022 to pre-pandemic levels (February 2020):
Public admin & defence saw the highest percentage growth in payrolled employees at 9.8%, followed by Administration (6.5%) and Health (6.0%).
On the other hand, Hospitality saw the lowest percentage growth with a decrease of 10.1%, followed by Other services (down by 5.3%) and Arts & recreation (down by 5.1%).
Source: HM Revenue and Customs – Pay As You Earn Real Time Information.
Note: Estimates are based on where employees live. Excludes sectors with fewer than 25,000 payrolled employees in London.
Recent changes in the number of payrolled employees vary by age group. Comparing December 2021 to pre-pandemic levels (February 2020):
The number of payrolled employees “Aged: 65+” in London was up by 4.8%, while the number of employees “Aged: 25-34” was down by 2.3%.
In the United Kingdom overall, those two age groups saw an increase of 4.8% and an increase of 0.0%, respectively.
Source: HM Revenue and Customs – Pay As You Earn Real Time Information.
Note: Estimates are based on where employees live.
Employment measures the number of people aged 16 and over in paid work and those who had a job that they were temporarily away from. The employment rate is the proportion of people aged between 16 and 64 years who are in employment.
For October to December 2021:
The 16-64 employment rate in London was estimated at 75.9%; this represents an increase of 0.8 percentage points (pp) on the previous quarter and an increase of 1.5pp from a year earlier.
The overall UK employment rate was estimated at 75.5%, an increase of 0.1pp on the quarter and an increase of 0.9pp on the year.
The overall number of Londoners in employment is still 49,000 or 1.0% below where it was before the pandemic (December 2020 to February 2021). This is likely down to a drop in self-employment (see here).
Source: ONS Labour Force Survey.
Note: The margin of error is +/- 1.4% for London and +/- 0.4% for the UK.
Unemployment measures people without a job who have been actively seeking work within the last four weeks and are available to start work within the next two weeks. The unemployment rate is the proportion of the economically active population who are unemployed.
For October to December 2021:
The unemployment rate for London was estimated at 5.2%; this represents a decrease of 0.5pp on the previous quarter and a decrease of 2.1pp from a year earlier.
The UK unemployment rate was estimated at 4.1%, a decrease of 0.2pp from the previous quarter and a decrease of 1.2pp on the year.
Source: ONS Labour Force Survey.
Note: The margin of error is +/- 0.8% for London and +/- 0.2% for the UK.
The economic inactivity rate is the proportion of 16 to 64 year olds not in work and either not looking for or unable to work. This group includes some students, people who are looking after family/home, and people who are too ill to work (most of whom are long-term sick).
For October to December 2021:
The rate of economic inactivity in London was estimated at 19.8%; this represents a decrease of 0.6pp on the previous quarter and an increase of 0.2pp from a year earlier.
The UK rate of economic inactivity was 21.2%. This represents an increase of 0.1pp on the previous quarter and an increase of 0.1pp on the year.
Source: ONS Labour Force Survey.
Note: The margin of error is not published for London, the UK margin is +/- 0.4%.
The claimant count is a measure of the number of people claiming benefits principally for the reason of being unemployed. It includes people claiming Jobseeker’s Allowance and those claiming Universal Credit who are required to seek work.
The latest data for January 2022 show that:
There were 339,000 people claiming unemployment related benefits in London - equal to a claimant unemployment rate (as a proportion of residents aged 16 to 64) of 5.6%.
The number of claimants in London has decreased by 143,000, or 29.6%, on the year, compared to a decrease of 746,000, or 29.2%, in the UK overall.
Source: ONS Claimant Count by sex and age (NSA).
Note: may include some employed claimants on low hours or earnings.
Source: ONS Claimant Count by sex and age (NSA).
Note: may include some employed claimants on low hours or earnings.
Headline estimates for Oct 2021-Dec 2021 | Number* (thousands) | Rate** (%) | ||||||||
Latest Estimate | Change on Quarter | Change on Year | Latest Estimate | Change on Quarter | Change on Year | |||||
Employment | ||||||||||
London | 4,810 | 33 | t | 85 | t | 75.9 | 0.8 | t | 1.5 | t |
UK | 32,485 | -38 | u | 337 | t | 75.5 | 0.1 | t | 0.9 | t |
Unemployment | ||||||||||
London | 262 | -22 | u | -106 | u | 5.2 | -0.5 | u | -2.1 | u |
UK | 1,374 | -74 | u | -396 | u | 4.1 | -0.2 | u | -1.2 | u |
Economic Inactivity | ||||||||||
London | 1,213 | -37 | u | 14 | t | 19.8 | -0.6 | u | 0.2 | t |
UK | 8,764 | 31 | t | 36 | t | 21.2 | 0.1 | t | 0.1 | t |
Source: ONS Labour Force Survey. | ||||||||||