The share of jobs held by workers living in London with EU nationalities has fallen but has been more than offset by a rising share held by other non-UK nationalities over the last three years, according to the latest data released by HMRC.
This release is an update of our previous analysis on the nationality of workers in payrolled employments living in London, which now covers the period from July 2014 to December 2022. This includes two years of the new points-based immigration regime implemented in January 2021.*
Over the first four years of this period, up to mid 2018, the number of employments held by EU workers in London rose sharply from around 620,000 to around 830,000, surpassing the number of employments held by non-EU workers.
Four years later, by December 2022, it was well below 800,000 again, while non-EU employments rose to above a million.
Some industries have seen a large change in the size and composition of the non-UK workforce. In particular, hospitality has lost 30% of employments held by EU workers but gained almost 40% held by non-EU workers.
The rest of the UK still has much lower shares of EU and non-EU jobs than London, but the rate of growth in non-EU jobs has been faster than in London.
Following the post-lockdown decrease in payrolled employments overall, the number of employments held by non-EU* workers rose steadily from January 2021 onwards while the number of EU employments stabilised. This period coincided with the end of free movement for EU citizens.
In December 2019, there were almost the same number of payrolled employments held by both EU and non-EU nationals living in London, each accounting for around 19% of all employments
By December 2022, EU nationals accounted for around 765,000 employments (16.6%) while non-EU nationals accounted for 1,050,000 employments (22.9%).
The total share of employments held by non-UK nationals has increased throughout the data period, from 35.1% in July 2014 to 39.5% in December 2022.
The UK has on average experienced a higher rate of growth in employments held by non-EU workers than London itself in recent years. Nevertheless, there continues to be a much larger share of non-UK workers living in London than in the rest of the UK.
In December 2022, 16.6% of resident payrolled employments in London were held by EU nationals and 22.9% were held by non-EU nationals. In both cases, this was much higher than the UK average (7.8% and 9.3%, respectively).
These differences are mirrored within industries such as Hospitality, while being even more pronounced within other industries, such as Construction:
There is variation in how payrolled employment counts have evolved across industries over the past three years, coinciding with the pandemic, the end of free movement for EU citizens, and the introduction of a new points-based immigration system.
The charts below show trends for a selection of industries from December 2019 to December 2022. Most sectors saw total employments fall during the lockdown periods in 2020 and 2021, with noted exceptions in Construction and Health, both of which also saw increases in employments held by EU nationals well into 2021.
Hospitality saw the steepest falls during the pandemic. The increase in UK and non-EU workers* in 2022 later lifted the overall level of employments above pre-pandemic levels.
Looking at the percentage change in payrolled employments from December 2019 to December 2022 across the ten largest industries in London, these sectoral differences become even clearer.
Note: payrolled employment counts cannot be compared with counts of total jobs. For the latest data on total jobs counts, see our Labour Market Update release.
The table below shows the number of employments by nationality in London and the UK in December 2022.
As the data is not seasonally adjusted, we compare with levels in December 2019 to avoid potential biases related to seasonal employment. The comparison is also practical as December 2019 saw EU and non-EU employments at nearly the same level.
HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) has published statistics on payrolled employments in the UK by region, industry and nationality with data on the period from June 2014 to December 2022. This article explores some of the key trends for London.
Payrolled employment counts are a measure of payrolled employee jobs and are calculated based on the proportion of each month in which the employment was being worked.
Please note, the payrolled employment counts used in this article cannot be:
directly compared with payrolled employee numbers - payrolled employees can have multiple payrolled employments, so employment counts follow the same trend as employee counts, but will be higher.
directly compared with total jobs numbers - these statistics only include employments from the PAYE system, they do not include employments from non-payrolled sources such as self-employment.
used as a count of monthly or annual migration to the UK or London, or to show the number of non-UK nationals who are currently living in the UK or London.
Nationality breakdowns are determined using HMRC’s Migrant Worker Scan (MWS). Nationality is reported by individuals when they register for a National Insurance number and may change following registration.
The data has not been seasonally adjusted.
This release concerns the movement of workers from abroad to the UK. The following dates are relevant in this context as they affected movement rights, which includes the process of the UK leaving the EU.
23 June 2016 - the UK held a referendum and 52% of those who voted chose to leave the EU.
31 January 2020 - the UK left the EU and entered a transition period.
23 March 2020 - the first COVID-19 lockdown was announced and the Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme was introduced.
31 December 2020 - the transition period ended and the UK left the EU single market and customs union. Free movement between the EU and the UK ended.
1 January 2021 - the UK introduced a new, points-based immigration system.